Background Video
Superforecasting
Are good forecasters born or made? How can one best design teams to produce better forecasts?
In this session, we cover work from the Good Judgment Project that has focused on answering these and related questions. Check out an interview by Phil Tetlock and read Mellers & Tetlock (2019). (ca. 60 minutes) for an overview of the Good Judgment Project and its main insights.
Required Reading
Mellers, B. A. & Tetlock, P. E. (2019). From discipline-centered rivalries to solution-centered science. American Psychologist, 74 (3), 290-300. http://doi: 10.1037/amp0000429
Session Slides